Tuesday, November 10, 2009

A Voice of Reason Regarding The Alberto Callaspo Trade Rumors

Sunday night, Bob Dutton reported that the Royals are rumored to be interested in shipping Alberto Callaspo to the Los Angeles Dodgers for 28-year-old (29 in April) catcher A.J. Ellis. Seeing as though Ellis has worked his way up to a grand total of 13 plate appearances in two September call-ups at that advanced an age, it is hard to get overly excited about the prospect of that deal.

It is that exact lack of excitement that has permeated the Royals blogosphere in the last day-and-a-half.

Now, if a deal were to be completed consisting solely of Alberto Callaspo and A.J. Ellis, then the Royals will unequivocally have been taken to the cleaners.

The thing is I really can't imagine that Dayton Moore would pull the trigger on a deal in which the Royals only net a soon-to-be-29-year-old minor league catcher whose AAA stats benefit from having been inflated by playing in the PCL with his home games in Las Vegas and then Albuquerque.

While playing for the Isotopes in 2009, his road split was .262/.369/.315/.685 while his home split was an absurd .359/.492/.425/.917. Moreover his road split from this past season is very much in line with his career lines at his stops along the lower levels of the minors, all in climates less arid and at elevations a lot closer to sea level. Despite his consistently high walk rates, the sudden statistical leap forward all reeks of being the minor league equivalent of the pre-humidor Rockies' numbers.

If Dayton Moore were to trade Callaspo for Ellis straight up, he would be trading an admittedly defensively challenged second baseman who is two years younger than Ellis, still one year away from arbitration-eligibility*, and carrier of an OPS+ of 114 last season for an entirely unproven, light-hitting catcher who is supposedly defensively sound.

*Apparently Callaspo has fallen six days short of the requisite service time to qualify as a "Super Two."

It is probably fair to say that a large segment of the Royals fan base is losing or has already lost faith in Dayton Moore after a disastrous offseason heading into the 2009 season.

It probably is not fair to think that Dayton Moore is hapless enough to pull the trigger on a one-for-one deal like this.

Last year offseason left us scratching our heads, as did the trades of the troubled pair of Daniels this summer, but even I cannot imagine that Dayton Moore would send Callaspo to the Dodgers for only A.J. Ellis.

That deal, even after taking into account the likelihood that Callaspo's power numbers are likely to come back down a bit next season, would be absolutely moronic. So moronic that I refuse to believe Dayton Moore would pull the trigger on a trade that ridiculous.

Failing to get at least two replacement-level Major Leaguers with some upside (or one legitimate big leaguer) back for Callaspo, one of the only desirable trading chips the Royals have, would be an unmitigated disaster.

Dayton Moore may have made a bunch of questionable moves lately, but he couldn't possibly be that insane.

I hope.

3 comments:

Ray W said...

Your right Callaspo for Ellis would never work Dayton would also try to include Hochevar or Bannister. ~:)

Jeff Parker said...

The thing is I really can't imagine that Dayton Moore would pull the trigger on a deal in which the Royals only net a soon-to-be-29-year-old minor league catcher whose AAA stats benefit from having been inflated by playing in the PCL with his home games in Las Vegas and then Albuquerque.

This is why I never posted about it. I just can't imagine a 1 for 1 swap.

Old Man Duggan said...

Yeah, it just seemed like there were an inordinate amount of people who were alarmed.